011 Population 2050

Definition

Population, the number of people living, is projected for year 2050 of the current era. The United Nations’ medium variant projection is used to map this variable.

Data sources

Population estimates for 2050 are from The United Nations’ World Population Projections 2004 (Revision). The medium fertility variant, that is used most commonly in forecasting, was used for the maps. Six other variants are also calculated by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs and also under three different AIDS scenarios. The AIDS scenario used here is that AIDS is cured so no longer has an effect on population.

The population of the world is estimated at 9.07 billion by the medium variant by 2050. Estimates for the proportion of the population in China living in Taiwan have been derived from the Taiwan council for Economic Planning and Development (this estimated figure is then subtracted from the number for mainland China ).

Click here to view detailed data source references

The quote used on the poster is from the United Nations Population Fund. It appeared in an article in the SouthPac (South Pacific) News: UNFPA Country Support Team for the South Pacific (June 1999) Y6B: World Population Hits 6 Billion! SouthPac News 7 (1). The quote was sourced in December 2005, from this website:

http://www.un.org/popin/regional/asiapac/fiji/news/99jun/y6b.htm

 

Excel sheets

Below is an explanation of each of the columns in the excel file:

Column A = Unique numerical territory (see 001).

Column B = Region and territory names (see 001).

Column C = Region code (see 001).

Column D = The ISO 3 code, or ISO ALPHA-3 (see 001).

Column E = Population in 2050, in thousands. As the data source provided no population prediction for Taiwan , this number is estimated using information from the Taiwan council for Economic Planning and Development (this estimated figure is then subtracted from the number for mainland China ).

Column F = Population year 2050, in thousands. These are the original estimates from the data source. The only territory for which data is not provided is Taiwan